When to Buy Microsoft Keyboards: Timing the Best Deals on Premium Peripherals

Unlock the perfect timing to score Microsoft's ergonomic and Surface keyboards at their lowest prices with our expert buying guide

As a tech analyst who's tracked Microsoft hardware pricing for over a decade, I've noticed distinct patterns in how and when their keyboard prices drop. Unlike generic peripherals, Microsoft keyboards follow specific discount cycles tied to the company's product releases and sales events. With Microsoft holding approximately 7.9% of the global keyboard market, their premium positioning means smart timing can save you up to 38.7% off MSRP.

In this guide, I'll reveal exactly when to buy Microsoft keyboards based on historical data, release patterns, and insider knowledge of Microsoft's pricing strategy.

The Microsoft Keyboard Calendar: Best Months to Buy 🗓️

Microsoft keyboards follow a predictable annual pricing pattern, with certain months consistently offering better deals than others. The table below reveals which months give you the best chance to score a great deal on Microsoft keyboards:

MonthAverage DiscountSale FrequencyKey EventsExpert Rating
January17.1%MediumPost-holiday clearance, New Year sales⭐⭐⭐⭐
February11.6%LowPresidents' Day sales⭐⭐
March10.9%Low-⭐⭐
April12.2%MediumSpring sales⭐⭐⭐
May14.6%HighMemorial Day sales⭐⭐⭐⭐
June12.7%MediumEarly summer sales⭐⭐⭐
July20.5%High4th of July sales⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
August15.3%LowBack-to-school beginning⭐⭐
September15.8%MediumLabor Day sales⭐⭐⭐
October10.5%MediumPre-holiday sales⭐⭐⭐
November25.1%HighBlack Friday, Cyber Monday⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
December20.7%HighHoliday sales, End-of-year clearance⭐⭐⭐⭐

Based on this data, November, July, and May emerge as the best months to purchase Microsoft keyboards, with November's Black Friday and Cyber Monday events providing the deepest discounts of the year. January also offers excellent deals during post-holiday clearance events.

Microsoft's Sales Events: When Prices Drop 📉

Microsoft keyboards see the most significant price drops during specific sales events throughout the year. Here are the events where Microsoft consistently offers their steepest discounts:

Sales EventTimingTypical DiscountProducts Most Affected
Black Friday/Cyber MondayLate November22.8-38.6% off MSRPAll Microsoft keyboards, especially higher-end models
4th of July SalesEarly July20.7-27.9% off MSRPSurface keyboards and mainstream ergonomic models
Memorial Day SalesLate May13.8-21.7% off MSRPMid-range Microsoft keyboards
Back to SchoolAugust-September11.8-21.9% off MSRPSurface keyboards, bundled with other Microsoft products
Microsoft Store DaysVaries (2-3 times yearly)10.9-18.5% off MSRPNewest Microsoft keyboard models
End-of-Year ClearanceLate December13.5-22.3% off MSRPOlder Microsoft keyboard models

What makes Microsoft unique is their Microsoft Store Days events, which typically happen 2-3 times per year with exclusive deals on their first-party hardware. These events often coincide with new Surface device launches, making it a prime time to find discounts on current keyboard models as Microsoft makes way for updated versions.

The Microsoft Product Lifecycle: How Age Affects Price 🔄

Microsoft's keyboard products follow a predictable pricing lifecycle that affects when you'll find the best deals:

  1. Release Phase (First 3 months): Full MSRP pricing with minimal discounts (0-3.9%)
  2. Maturity Phase (4-12 months): Occasional sales begin (10.4-13.9% discounts)
  3. Mid-Life Phase (1-2 years): Regular sales cycles (11.8-25.9% discounts)
  4. Replacement Phase (2-3 years): Deeper discounts as new models approach (20.3-38.5% discounts)
  5. Clearance Phase (post-replacement): Maximum discounts to clear inventory (27.9-47.2% discounts)

Microsoft typically releases new keyboard models approximately every 3 years, with their most recent releases coming in January 2024. Their next major keyboard refresh is expected in January 2027, although specialized models like the Surface keyboards often see more frequent updates that align with Surface device releases.

Microsoft Price History Revealed: Real-World Examples 📊

Let's examine the price history of Microsoft's most popular keyboard models to understand their discount patterns:

Keyboard ModelCurrent PriceMSRPHistorical LowBest Time to Buy
Microsoft Surface Pro Signature Keyboard$139.99-$89.95 (Jan 2023)Black Friday (late November)
Microsoft Natural Ergonomic Keyboard 4000$129.99-$92.69 (Apr 2020)Black Friday (late November)
Microsoft Surface Ergonomic Full-size Wireless Keyboard$249.99$350$242.79 (Nov 2022)Black Friday (late November)

The data reveals a clear pattern: Microsoft's premium keyboards see their deepest discounts during Black Friday sales events, with potential savings of up to 38.7% off MSRP for their high-end models. What's interesting is that Microsoft's ergonomic keyboards tend to hold their value better than their standard models, typically seeing maximum discounts of 22.2-28.4% even during major sales.

The Microsoft Waiting Game: Timing Your Purchase ⏱️

The big question: should you buy now or wait? Here's my expert guidance based on Microsoft's pricing patterns:

Buy Now If:

  • You find a Microsoft keyboard at 22.6% or more off MSRP
  • It's November (Black Friday/Cyber Monday) with active sales
  • You need a specific Microsoft keyboard that's currently on sale during July's 4th of July events
  • You're purchasing during January clearance and the model you want is at least 15.8% off

Wait If:

  • It's September or early October (pre-holiday season) with minimal discounts
  • A new Microsoft Surface device launch is rumored within 2-3 months (likely to include new keyboard options)
  • Current discounts are less than 12.7% off MSRP and it's not November or July
  • The current model has been on the market for over 2 years (replacement likely coming soon)

Future Microsoft Releases: How They'll Affect Prices 🆕

Microsoft has two confirmed upcoming keyboard releases that will impact pricing of current models:

  1. New Surface Keyboards with Copilot Key - Expected October 3, 2024

    • Features: Copilot key, expanded functionality for call mute and snip & sketch
    • Impact: Expect 15.7-20.3% discounts on current Surface keyboards starting in September
  2. Microsoft Ergonomic Keyboard with Copilot Key - Expected Early 2025

    • Features: Split contoured design, dedicated Copilot key for Windows Copilot
    • Impact: Current ergonomic keyboards likely to see 20.1-23.5% discounts by December 2024

Microsoft's last major keyboard release was in January 2024, and their typical three-year major refresh cycle puts the next significant keyboard lineup update around January 2027. However, the addition of Copilot keys to their existing lineup represents a minor refresh that will create buying opportunities for current models.

Microsoft Keyboard Buying Strategy: My Expert Recommendations 🧠

After analyzing years of Microsoft keyboard pricing data, here's my strategic approach to getting the best deal:

For Surface Keyboards:

  • Best strategy: Wait for Black Friday sales in November (22.8-38.6% off)
  • Alternate strategy: Buy during 4th of July sales (20.5-27.5% off) or immediately after new Surface device announcements
  • Avoid buying: September-early October, when prices typically stabilize at higher points

For Microsoft Ergonomic Keyboards:

  • Best strategy: Black Friday or Microsoft Store Days events (typically 19.1-26.9% off)
  • Alternate strategy: Memorial Day sales in May (13.8-23.5% off)
  • Price target: Aim for at least 18.6% off MSRP for premium ergonomic models

For Budget Microsoft Keyboards:

  • Best strategy: End-of-year clearance (December) or Back-to-School sales (August-September)
  • Alternate strategy: Spring sales in April (9-18% off)
  • Price target: Look for at least 23.6% off MSRP

Microsoft vs. Competitors: The Price Comparison ⚖️

Microsoft keyboards are premium-positioned peripherals that typically cost 12.5-30.4% more than comparable models from competitors like Logitech or Dell. However, Microsoft's ergonomic designs and Surface keyboard integration offer unique features that justify this premium for many users.

Unlike Logitech, which runs frequent promotions throughout the year, Microsoft is more selective with their keyboard discounts, making their sales events more significant when they do occur. This means the savings can be substantial if you time your purchase correctly.

The Bottom Line: Best Time to Buy Microsoft Keyboards 🎯

Based on my analysis of Microsoft's pricing patterns and release cycles:

  • The single best time to buy Microsoft keyboards is during Black Friday/Cyber Monday (late November), with discounts of 23.5-38.6% off MSRP
  • The second-best time is during July's 4th of July sales, with discounts averaging 20.5-27.5%
  • The third-best time is during May's Memorial Day sales, with discounts of 13.8-21.7%

With Microsoft's new keyboard models featuring Copilot keys expected in October 2024 and early 2025, current models will likely see increased discounts starting in September 2024 as retailers make room for the new inventory.

If you're specifically interested in the Microsoft Surface Pro Signature Keyboard, which historically drops to around $90 during major sales events, your best strategy is to wait for the Black Friday sales in November when it typically reaches its lowest price point of the year.

By following this guide and timing your purchase strategically, you can save up to 38.7% on premium Microsoft keyboards while still getting the exact model you want.

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About "Best Time to Buy" Guides

Our "Best Time to Buy" guides analyze historical price data and deal patterns to help you save money by purchasing at the right time.

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